Testimony from Timelines: Evidence-Grounded Significance Testing of Temporal Clinical Hypotheses

Paper recorded by Signals 4 on 2026-10-29 in cs.CL. Abstract reproduced from arXiv; link to the original below.

Published 2026-10-29 on arXiv · recorded by Signals 4 on 2026-10-30

Category: cs.CL · 自然语言处理 · first seen 2026-10-30

Abstract

Ask a language model whether sales tend to dip after a product recall, or whether one side effect tends to follow another after a vaccine, and it answers in a fluent sentence that reads like a finding, with no test behind it. Assertions about how events unfold across many cases fill the Web, and each is a temporal hypothesis that only a significance test over the right records can settle. The veri

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